Largest winners and losers in NFL playoff projections, Week 11

Week 11 was a vital one for a handful of groups with critical NFL playoff aspirations.

Solely 14 groups could make the NFL playoffs, however many extra shall be within the race via Week 18.

Whereas groups just like the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles ought to really feel nice about their probabilities of getting in, others might want to see how the following seven weeks of the common season do shake out. Though groups just like the Houston Texans have clearly moved on to the 2023 NFL Draft, a lot of the league is left within the operating to acquire a type of 14 out there postseason berths.

Listed below are the newest playoff projections by FiveThirtyEight heading into Monday Night time Soccer.

NFL playoff projections: Largest winners and losers via Week 11

Winner: Dallas Cowboys (99 % likelihood to make playoffs)

With the Dallas Cowboys crushing the Minnesota Vikings on the street, they now have the very best odds of any group within the NFC to win the Super Bowl at 26 %. They path solely the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs in that regard (23 %). Though they solely have a 31 % likelihood of successful the NFC East, the Cowboys are just about a lock at this juncture to make the NFC playoffs at 99 %.

Loser: Denver Broncos (0.6 % likelihood to make playoffs)

It has been a 12 months from hell for the Denver Broncos. With the hopes of creating the postseason for the primary time since successful Tremendous Bowl 50 in 2015, Denver now has a 0.6 % likelihood of moving into the AFC playoffs. Whereas shedding at residence to the Las Vegas Raiders was a brutal blow, Denver has to face the truth it might need longest lively postseason drought after this season.

Winner: Tennessee Titans (98 % likelihood to make playoffs)

The Tennessee Titans are a powerful and highly effective drive within the AFC South. After beating the Inexperienced Bay Packers on Thursday night time, Tennessee now has a 98 % likelihood of creating the playoffs and a 97 % likelihood of successful its division. Whereas a first-round bye or a Lombardi Trophy are slim at round 7 % apiece, all of it begins with getting a house playoff recreation in January anyway.

Loser: New York Giants (51 % likelihood to make playoffs)

With the New York Giants getting pushed round by the Detroit Lions at residence, the G-Males’s playoff probabilities have dropped to 51 % within the NFC. They now have a 2 % likelihood of successful the NFC East, which has grow to be one of the aggressive divisions in soccer. This may solely be a third-place group anyway, however that is probably not sufficient to make the playoffs.