One stat exhibits simply how massive a TNF win can be for Packers playoff hopes
The Packers are alive within the playoff hunt regardless of occurring a current five-game dropping skid. A win on Thursday can be large.
It’s not typically you can enter Week 11 at 4-6 and having gone on a 5-game dropping skid within the meat of the season whereas holding your postseason hopes alive. The Green Bay Packers have benefited massively from a dreary NFC this season which is holding nearly each workforce within the convention — not simply the Packers — alive via 11 weeks.
Any workforce that items collectively a number of wins can simply make a run for the postseason even when they’ve carried out poorly up to now. With the Packers having Aaron Rodgers beneath middle, they could be the workforce finest positioned with a dropping report to take action.
After an enormous win over the Dallas Cowboys final week, their Week 11 game is on short rest against the Tennessee Titans, and a win right here can be large to their playoff hopes. The Packers ought to be opportunistic on their house area to make it occur.
Stat mannequin exhibits how vital a TNF win can be
FiveThirtyEight’s NFL projection mannequin gives the Packers just a 12 percent chance of making the postseason going into Week 11. A win tonight, although, would almost double the Packers’ playoff probabilities, getting them to twenty p.c. Trying ahead, they’ve the Eagles in Week 12, and stringing consecutive wins in each Week 11 and 12 would do much more for the Packers, upping their playoff proportion to a whopping 40 p.c.
One step at a time, although. The choice consequence exhibits how vital TNF is. If the Packers lose on Thursday, their playoff probabilities drop from 12 p.c to 5 p.c. A win in opposition to the Eagles the following week would convey them again as much as 15 p.c on this situation.
That implies that a win tonight is a 16 p.c swing on probabilities to make the playoffs versus a loss, based on FiveThirtyEight’s mannequin.
As at all times, it’s most vital to maintain the problem proper in entrance of you and for the Packers, that’s the Titans in Week 11. Doing so will assist the Packers proceed to show the tide on this very unhealthy season.